Vienna · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 28, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 28, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Daniil Medvedev won 7-6 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 69% on Daniil Medvedev, who won 7-6 6-1.
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev meet in the round of 32 at Vienna on Wednesday. Daniil Medvedev brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Medvedev's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 64.8% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Medvedev should have enough here, though Aguilar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1863
Daniil Medvedev
2052
Overall rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1906
Daniil Medvedev
2059
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniil Medvedev
1st serve in
69.1%
62.2%
1st serve points won
64.8%
72.8%
2nd serve points won
47.6%
48.9%
Form
Daniel Merida Aguilar
6–4
Daniil Medvedev
9–1
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev at Vienna?
Daniil Medvedev won 7-6 6-1.
Was the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 69% on Daniil Medvedev, who won 7-6 6-1.