Montreal · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 11, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 11, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Learner Tien won 6-3 6-2
We got this one right. Learner Tien was our 60% pick, and won 6-3 6-2.
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien meet in the quarterfinal at Montreal on Tuesday. Learner Tien is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Daniel Merida Aguilar brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Tien has been winning 68% of first-serve points to Aguilar's 63.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Tien should have enough here, though Aguilar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1910
Learner Tien
1946
Overall rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1940
Learner Tien
1977
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Learner Tien
1st serve in
69.3%
61.7%
1st serve points won
63.9%
68%
2nd serve points won
47%
49.3%
Form
Daniel Merida Aguilar
9–1
Learner Tien
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien at Montreal?
Learner Tien won 6-3 6-2.
Was the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien prediction correct?
We got this one right. Learner Tien was our 60% pick, and won 6-3 6-2.