Montreal · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 4, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 4, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 3-6 6-4 6-4
A miss: Liam Draxl at 53% lost to Daniel Merida Aguilar (3-6 6-4 6-4).
Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Daniel Merida Aguilar against Liam Draxl on hard. Liam Draxl comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 7 of the last 10.
Draxl's 68.4% behind the first serve (against 63.8% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Draxl is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1910
Liam Draxl
1764
Overall rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1940
Liam Draxl
1754
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Liam Draxl
1st serve in
69.7%
65.8%
1st serve points won
63.8%
68.4%
2nd serve points won
47.3%
47.5%
Form
Daniel Merida Aguilar
7–3
Liam Draxl
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl at Montreal?
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 3-6 6-4 6-4.
Was the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl prediction correct?
A miss: Liam Draxl at 53% lost to Daniel Merida Aguilar (3-6 6-4 6-4).