A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Daniel Merida Aguilar goes up against Marton Fucsovics in the US Open first round. Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 7 of the last 10. Marton Fucsovics limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Daniel Merida Aguilar simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Aguilar is exactly that — a lean.