Taylor Fritz won 6-3 6-4
We got this one right. Taylor Fritz was our 64% pick, and won 6-3 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Merida Aguilar goes up against Taylor Fritz in the Cincinnati round of 32. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 8 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Fritz has been winning 74.6% of first-serve points to Aguilar's 64.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Fritz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Taylor Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 69.1% | 61.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.3% | 74.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47% | 52.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.