Umag · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Titouan Droguet — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · July 16, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-1 6-3
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Titouan Droguet; Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-1 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Daniel Merida Aguilar goes up against Titouan Droguet in the Umag quarterfinal. Titouan Droguet has won 5 of the last 10. Daniel Merida Aguilar is 4-6 across recent matches.
Daniel Merida Aguilar leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Aguilar — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Droguet has been winning 73.5% of first-serve points to Aguilar's 65.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Droguet is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1778
Titouan Droguet
1789
Overall rating
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1942
Titouan Droguet
1840
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Titouan Droguet
1st serve in
68.9%
60.8%
1st serve points won
65.1%
73.5%
2nd serve points won
49.6%
51.4%
Form
Daniel Merida Aguilar
4–6
Titouan Droguet
5–5
Head to head
Daniel Merida Aguilar leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Daniel Merida Aguilar.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguet at Umag?
Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-1 6-3.
Was the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguet prediction correct?
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Titouan Droguet; Daniel Merida Aguilar won 6-1 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Titouan Droguet?
Daniel Merida Aguilar leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Daniel Merida Aguilar.