A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daniel Rincon goes up against Michael Mmoh in the Olbia round of 16. Michael Mmoh is 7-3 across recent matches. Daniel Rincon comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Michael Mmoh is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mmoh around 58%. Rincon comes in off a compressed schedule; Mmoh comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mmoh is exactly that — a lean.