Wednesday's Cassis round of 16 pits Daniel Rincon against Ugo Blanchet on hard. Ugo Blanchet has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Daniel Rincon is 5-5 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Blanchet has been winning 71.9% of first-serve points to Rincon's 68.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Rincon comes in off a compressed schedule; Blanchet comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Blanchet fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniel Rincon | Ugo Blanchet |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.4% | 53.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.4% | 71.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.9% | 51% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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