A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Daniel Vallejo goes up against Valentin Royer in the Shanghai first round. Daniel Vallejo is 4-6 across recent matches. Valentin Royer has won 6 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.2% versus 26.2% on first-serve points in Vallejo's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Vallejo is exactly that — a lean.