Wednesday's Brest round of 32 pits Daniil Glinka against Hugo Gaston on hard. Hugo Gaston has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Daniil Glinka is 6-4 across recent matches.

Hugo Gaston simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Gaston — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.