Frances Tiafoe won 7-6 6-4 7-6
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 52% on Daniil Medvedev; Frances Tiafoe won 7-6 6-4 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Frances Tiafoe in the US Open round of 16. Daniil Medvedev has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Medvedev fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 72.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 51.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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