Saturday's Rome semifinal pits Daniil Medvedev against Jannik Sinner on clay. Jannik Sinner brings a 10-match winning streak into this one, 10-0 across the last ten. Daniil Medvedev has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
Jannik Sinner has had the better of this rivalry, winning 10 of 17 against Daniil Medvedev. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Sinner — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Sinner — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Jannik Sinner |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.9% | 72.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 53.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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