Daniil Medvedev and Marin Cilic meet in the match at Hertogenbosch on Saturday. Daniil Medvedev has won 7 of the last 10. Marin Cilic has won 5 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Daniil Medvedev, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Marin Cilic. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Medvedev — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Medvedev is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Cilic is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling. Little separates them; Medvedev gets the nod on the finest of margins.