Daniil Medvedev and Marin Cilic meet in the match at Hertogenbosch on Saturday. Daniil Medvedev has won 7 of the last 10. Marin Cilic has won 5 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Daniil Medvedev, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Marin Cilic. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Medvedev — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Medvedev is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Cilic is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling. Little separates them; Medvedev gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Marin Cilic |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 57.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.9% | 76.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 50.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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