It all comes down to Sunday at Almaty, where Daniil Medvedev faces Nikoloz Basilashvili for the trophy. Daniil Medvedev is 9-1 across recent matches. Nikoloz Basilashvili brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Medvedev's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 68.6% for Basilashvili) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Basilashvili comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Medvedev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 48.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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