Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic meet in the semifinal at Beijing on Monday. Novak Djokovic brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Daniil Medvedev brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Djokovic comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Djokovic fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Novak Djokovic |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 65.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 70.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 53.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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