A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Pablo Carreno Busta in the Beijing round of 32. Daniil Medvedev brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Pablo Carreno Busta is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Medvedev's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 68.2% for Busta) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Medvedev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 65.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 68.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 49.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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