Daniil Medvedev won 6-3 1-6 6-3
We got this one right. Daniil Medvedev was our 55% pick, and won 6-3 1-6 6-3.
Friday's Shanghai quarterfinal pits Daniil Medvedev against Tommy Paul on hard. Daniil Medvedev has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall. Tommy Paul brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Medvedev has been winning 72.8% of first-serve points to Paul's 69.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Medvedev is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 51.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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