Daniil Medvedev won 7-6 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 74% on Daniil Medvedev, who won 7-6 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Valentin Royer in the Hangzhou round of 16. Daniil Medvedev is 5-5 across recent matches. Valentin Royer has won 7 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Medvedev has been winning 72.8% of first-serve points to Royer's 26.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Anything other than a Medvedev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniil Medvedev | Valentin Royer |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.2% | 81.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.8% | 26.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 50.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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