Danka Kovinic and Noma Noha Akugue meet in the round of 32 at Courmayeur (Italy) on Tuesday. Noma Noha Akugue limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Danka Kovinic is 2-8 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Akugue.