Paula Badosa won 4-6 7-6 6-4
We got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 62% pick, and won 4-6 7-6 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Daria Kasatkina goes up against Paula Badosa in the Beijing first round. Paula Badosa comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Daria Kasatkina is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Hold strength tells the story — 65% versus 59.1% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Badosa.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daria Kasatkina | Paula Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.4% | 60.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 59.1% | 65% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.8% | 45.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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