Paula Badosa won 6-1 6-4
Nailed it. We had Paula Badosa at 57% before the match, and Paula Badosa won 6-1 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daria Kasatkina goes up against Paula Badosa in the US Open first round. Paula Badosa comes in at 9 wins from the last ten. Daria Kasatkina has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Badosa's 65% behind the first serve (against 59.1% for Kasatkina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Badosa gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daria Kasatkina | Paula Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.4% | 60.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 59.1% | 65% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.8% | 45.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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