Daria Kasatkina and Peyton Stearns meet in the round of 16 at Strasbourg on Tuesday. Peyton Stearns comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Daria Kasatkina comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The ledger favors Daria Kasatkina, 5-2 across their 7 meetings with Peyton Stearns. On clay specifically it reads 2-1 Kasatkina — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Stearns is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daria Kasatkina | Peyton Stearns |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.9% | 65.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.8% | 60.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.2% | 46.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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