Monday's Hertogenbosch round of 32 pits Daria Kasatkina against Robin Montgomery on grass. Robin Montgomery has won 4 of the last 10. Daria Kasatkina has won 5 of the last 10.
This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.
The serve is where this match separates: Montgomery has been winning 65.7% of first-serve points to Kasatkina's 58.8%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Montgomery comes in off a compressed schedule. If Montgomery plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daria Kasatkina | Robin Montgomery |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.9% | 62.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.8% | 65.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.2% | 41.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.