A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Katarzyna Kawa in the Beijing first round. Daria Snigur is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Katarzyna Kawa limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Snigur has been winning 60.9% of first-serve points to Kawa's 57.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Snigur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daria Snigur | Katarzyna Kawa |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 72.4% | 61.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.9% | 57.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.9% | 41.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.