It all comes down to Sunday at Livesport Prague Open, where Daria Snigur faces Lilli Tagger for the trophy. Daria Snigur has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Lilli Tagger brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Daria Snigur simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Snigur comes in off a compressed schedule; Tagger comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Snigur gets the nod on the finest of margins.