Cincinnati · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC

Daria Snigur vs. Madison Keys — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 16, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

Share result

Result

✓ Pick right

Madison Keys won 4-6 6-3 6-3

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Madison Keys, who won 4-6 6-3 6-3.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Madison Keys in the Cincinnati round of 64. Madison Keys comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Keys has been winning 65.5% of first-serve points to Snigur's 60.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Snigur comes in off a compressed schedule. Keys should have enough here, though Snigur has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Daria Snigur

1695

Madison Keys

1896

Overall rating

Daria Snigur

1863

Madison Keys

1992

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Daria Snigur	Madison Keys
1st serve in	72.8%	64.4%
1st serve points won	60.9%	65.5%
2nd serve points won	45.2%	44.8%

Form

Daria Snigur

6–4

Madison Keys

7–3

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys at Cincinnati?: Madison Keys won 4-6 6-3 6-3.
Was the Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Madison Keys, who won 4-6 6-3 6-3.