Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Daria Snigur against Yuliia Starodubtseva on hard. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches. Yuliia Starodubtseva has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Snigur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.