US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 1, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Darja Vidmanova vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 1, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Darja Vidmanova and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro meet in the first round at US Open on Tuesday. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has won 5 of the last 10. Darja Vidmanova has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Maneiro is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-108(52.0% Maneiro)
Market-106(51.5% Maneiro)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Darja Vidmanova
1586
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1634
Overall rating
Darja Vidmanova
1642
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1728
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Darja Vidmanova
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1st serve in
64%
61.8%
1st serve points won
63.5%
59.5%
2nd serve points won
45.5%
43.4%
Form
Darja Vidmanova
5–5
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Darja Vidmanova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Maiden gives Jessica Bouzas Maneiro a 52% chance to beat Darja Vidmanova in the US Open first round on September 1, 2026.
How confident is the Jessica Bouzas Maneiro pick?
52% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 52%, picks in that range have won 59% of the time (111 so far). See the track record page for the full table.