Darja Vidmanova and Maria Timofeeva meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Maria Timofeeva is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Darja Vidmanova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Maria Timofeeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Timofeeva should have enough here, though Vidmanova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.