Monday's Winston-Salem round of 64 pits Darwin Blanch against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Rinky Hijikata is 4-6 across recent matches. Darwin Blanch is searching for form, having lost 6 in a row (2 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Hijikata — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.