David Goffin and Mark Lajal meet in the round of 32 at St. Tropez on Monday. Mark Lajal is 7-3 across recent matches. David Goffin has dropped 6 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Lajal.