Wednesday's St. Tropez round of 16 pits David Jorda Sanchis against Dino Prizmic on hard. Dino Prizmic is 5-5 across recent matches. David Jorda Sanchis limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Sanchis comes in off a compressed schedule; Prizmic comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Prizmic win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.