Tuesday's St. Tropez round of 32 pits David Jorda Sanchis against Harry Wendelken on hard. Harry Wendelken is 2-8 across recent matches. David Jorda Sanchis is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (5 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Wendelken.