Dayana Yastremska and Iva Jovic meet in the round of 32 at Wuhan on Wednesday. Iva Jovic comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Dayana Yastremska is 4-6 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Yastremska comes in off a compressed schedule. Yastremska needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.