Monday's French Open first round pits Dayana Yastremska against Jasmine Paolini on clay. Dayana Yastremska has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Jasmine Paolini is 6-4 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Jasmine Paolini, 6-1 across their 7 meetings with Dayana Yastremska. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Paolini — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Yastremska fractionally more likely to land the big points.