A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Dayana Yastremska goes up against Lucrezia Stefanini in the US Open first round. Dayana Yastremska has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Lucrezia Stefanini limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
Yastremska's 62.3% behind the first serve (against 54.9% for Stefanini) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Yastremska — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Dayana Yastremska | Lucrezia Stefanini |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.3% | 73.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.3% | 54.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.4% | 42.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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