Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Dayana Yastremska against Tatjana Maria on hard. Dayana Yastremska has won 6 of the last 10. Tatjana Maria is 7-3 across recent matches.
Dayana Yastremska simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Yastremska — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Dayana Yastremska | Tatjana Maria |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.3% | 56.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.3% | 65.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.4% | 46.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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