Hubert Hurkacz won 6-7 6-3 6-3
Nailed it. We had Hubert Hurkacz at 56% before the match, and Hubert Hurkacz won 6-7 6-3 6-3.
Monday's Chengdu semifinal pits Denis Shapovalov against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Denis Shapovalov comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Shapovalov comes in off a compressed schedule; Hurkacz comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Hurkacz fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Denis Shapovalov | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.8% | 63.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.7% | 75.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.1% | 49.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.