Tuesday's French Open first round pits Denis Shapovalov against Jaime Faria on clay. Jaime Faria is 5-5 across recent matches. Denis Shapovalov has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
The ledger favors Jaime Faria, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Denis Shapovalov. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Faria — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Faria.