Los Cabos · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 29, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC

Denis Shapovalov vs. Rinky Hijikata — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 29, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Denis Shapovalov won 2-6 6-3 6-2

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Denis Shapovalov, who won 2-6 6-3 6-2.

Denis Shapovalov and Rinky Hijikata meet in the round of 32 at Los Cabos on Wednesday. Denis Shapovalov has won 3 of the last 10. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Denis Shapovalov has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Rinky Hijikata. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Shapovalov — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Hijikata's 68.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shapovalov fractionally more likely to land the big points.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Denis Shapovalov

1892

Rinky Hijikata

1720

Overall rating

Denis Shapovalov

1846

Rinky Hijikata

1747

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Denis Shapovalov	Rinky Hijikata
1st serve in	58.7%	60.3%
1st serve points won	74.7%	68.8%
2nd serve points won	50%	49.4%

Form

Denis Shapovalov

3–7

Rinky Hijikata

5–5

Head to head

Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 1-0. On hard: 1-0 Denis Shapovalov.

Full Shapovalov vs Hijikata history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata at Los Cabos?: Denis Shapovalov won 2-6 6-3 6-2.
Was the Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Denis Shapovalov, who won 2-6 6-3 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Denis Shapovalov and Rinky Hijikata?: Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 1-0. On hard: 1-0 Denis Shapovalov.