Los Cabos · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 30, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC

Denis Shapovalov vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 30, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Denis Shapovalov won 6-3 6-2

Nailed it. We had Denis Shapovalov at 56% before the match, and Denis Shapovalov won 6-3 6-2.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Denis Shapovalov goes up against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the Los Cabos round of 16. Denis Shapovalov comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.

Shapovalov's 74.7% behind the first serve (against 69.9% for Mendez) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Shapovalov is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Mendez arrives with very little recovery time. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shapovalov is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Denis Shapovalov

1892

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

1704

Overall rating

Denis Shapovalov

1846

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

1625

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Denis Shapovalov	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
1st serve in	58.7%	61.4%
1st serve points won	74.7%	69.9%
2nd serve points won	50%	51.2%

Form

Denis Shapovalov

3–7

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

6–4

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denis Shapovalov vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez at Los Cabos?: Denis Shapovalov won 6-3 6-2.
Was the Denis Shapovalov vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Denis Shapovalov at 56% before the match, and Denis Shapovalov won 6-3 6-2.