Denis Shapovalov won 7-5 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 68% on Denis Shapovalov, who won 7-5 6-1.
Thursday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Denis Shapovalov against Sho Shimabukuro on hard. Denis Shapovalov is 6-4 across recent matches. Sho Shimabukuro has won 2 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Shimabukuro's 71%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Shapovalov should have enough here, though Shimabukuro has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Denis Shapovalov | Sho Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.8% | 56.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.7% | 71% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.1% | 50.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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