Thursday's Basel round of 16 pits Denis Shapovalov against Taylor Fritz on hard. Taylor Fritz has won 5 of the last 10. Denis Shapovalov has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Shapovalov comes in off a compressed schedule; Fritz comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Fritz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.