Jelena Ostapenko won 7-6(6) 6-1
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 65% on Diana Shnaider; Jelena Ostapenko won 7-6(6) 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Diana Shnaider goes up against Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan quarterfinal. Diana Shnaider comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Jelena Ostapenko comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Shnaider comes in off a compressed schedule; Ostapenko comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Shnaider — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Diana Shnaider | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.5% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.7% | 64.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.3% | 43.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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