A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Diana Shnaider goes up against Jessica Pegula in the Toronto round of 16. Jessica Pegula has won 8 of the last 10. Diana Shnaider has won 5 of the last 10.
Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 69%. Pegula should have enough here, though Shnaider has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.