A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Diana Shnaider goes up against Madison Keys in the French Open round of 16. Madison Keys has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Diana Shnaider has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 3-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Shnaider — worth more than the overall number this week.

Madison Keys is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Keys around 75%. If Keys plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.