It all comes down to Saturday at Monterrey, where Diane Parry faces Elise Mertens for the trophy. Elise Mertens is 7-3 across recent matches. Diane Parry is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Elise Mertens is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mertens around 59%. Parry comes in off a compressed schedule; Mertens comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Mertens gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Diane Parry | Elise Mertens |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.1% | 59.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 66% | 63.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.5% | 43.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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