Wednesday's Istanbul round of 16 pits Dimitar Kuzmanov against Vadym Ursu on hard. Dimitar Kuzmanov comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Vadym Ursu has won 3 of the last 10.

Dimitar Kuzmanov is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kuzmanov around 73%. Kuzmanov comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Kuzmanov win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.