A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Donna Vekic goes up against Naomi Osaka in the French Open round of 64. Naomi Osaka is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Donna Vekic has won 6 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Naomi Osaka, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Donna Vekic. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Osaka — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Osaka should have enough here, though Vekic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.