Wednesday's Genova round of 16 pits Duje Ajdukovic against Stefanos Sakellaridis on clay. Stefanos Sakellaridis comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Duje Ajdukovic is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sakellaridis.